http://www.frbsf.org/ The current economy and the outlook. /publications/economics/fedviews/20120510/ We expect growth to remain moderate, picking up only gradually in the second half of this year and in 2013. The moderate pace reflects continuing obstacles facing the economy. 2012-05-10 00:00:00.0 <em>FedViews</em> - The Current Economy and Outlook Thu, 10 May 2012 07:00:00 GMT John Fernald /publications/economics/fedviews/20120510/ /publications/economics/fedviews/20120412/ ...recent economic news has generally been a bit better than expected. An improving labor market is a crucial underpinning for our projection of moderate real GDP growth of around 2½% to 2¾% this year. 2012-04-12 00:00:00.0 <em>FedViews</em> - The Current Economy and Outlook Thu, 12 April 2012 07:00:00 GMT Glenn Rudebusch /publications/economics/fedviews/20120309/ /publications/economics/fedviews/20120309/ Given mixed data, we expect growth in the first half of 2012 to slow from the fourth quarter of 2011 to about a 2% pace, then pick up in the second half of 2012. 2012-03-09 00:00:00.0 <em>FedViews</em> - The Current Economy and Outlook Fri, 09 March 2012 07:00:00 GMT Mark Spiegel /publications/economics/fedviews/20120309/ /publications/economics/fedviews/20120209/ We expect GDP growth to average a little over 2% in the first half of 2012, then accelerate in the second half and into 2013. Although unemployment news has been surprisingly good in recent months, we expect that the gradual nature of the recovery will translate into slower improvement in the unemployment rate. 2012-02-09 00:00:00.0 <em>FedViews</em> - The Current Economy and Outlook Thu, 09 February 2012 07:00:00 GMT Oscar Jorda /publications/economics/fedviews/20120209/