5th Conference on Fixed Income Markets

November 5 - November 6, 2015
Yellen Conference Center, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
101 Market Street
San Francisco, CA 94105

Recent Advances in Fixed Income Research and Implications for Monetary Policy

Thursday, November 5

Welcoming Remarks
Timothy Lane, Deputy Governor, Bank of Canada

Session 1: The Effects of Quantitative Easing
Session Chair: Michael Bauer, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

A Lesson from the Great Depression that the Fed Might have Learned: A Comparison of the 1932 Open Market Purchases with Quantitative Easing
Michael Bordo, Rutgers University, Hoover Institute at Stanford University, NBER
Arunima Sinha, Fordham University

Discussant: Annette Vissing-Jorgensen, Berkeley Haas

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Transmission of Quantitative Easing: The Role of Central Bank Reserves
Jens Christensen, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
Signe Krogstrup, Swiss National Bank

Discussant: Arvind Krishnamurthy, Stanford Graduate School of Business

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Session 2: Macroeconomic Risks and the Yield Curve

Economic Policy Uncertainty and the Yield Curve
Markus Leippold, Swiss Financial Institute and University of Zurich
Felix Matthys, Princeton University

Discussant: Anna Cieslak, Duke University

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Macro Risks and the Term Structure
Geert Bekaert, Columbia University and NBER
Eric Engstrom, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Andrey Ermolov, Columbia University

Discussant: Mikhail Chernov, University of California at Los Angeles

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Session 3: Bond Prices in Equilibrium
Session Chair: Michael Ehrmann, Bank of Canada

A Macroeconomic Model of Equities and Real, Nominal, and Defaultable Debt
Eric Swanson, University of California at Irvine

Discussant: Hanno Lustig, Stanford Graduate School of Business

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Bond Risk Premia in Consumption-based Models
Drew Creal, University of Chicago Booth School of Business
Jing Cynthia Wu, University of Chicago Booth School of Business and NBER

Discussant: Ivan Shaliastovich, Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania

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Session 4: Predicting Interest Rates

Robust Bond Risk Premia
Michael Bauer, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
James Hamilton, University of California at San Diego

Discussant: John Cochrane, Hoover Institute at Stanford University

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Loss Functions for Forecasting Treasury Yields
Hitesh Doshi, University of Houston
Kris Jacobs, University of Houston
Rui Liu, University of Houston

Discussant: Frank Diebold, University of Pennsylvania

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Dinner, Market Street Dining Room, Fourth Floor
Introduction: John C. Williams, President, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
Keynote Speaker: Athanasios Orphanides, Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Friday, November 6

Session 5: Term Structure Modeling and the Zero Lower Bound
Session Chair: Antonio Diez de los Rios, Bank of Canada

Tractable Term Structure Models: A New Approach
Bruno Feunou, Bank of Canada
Jean-Sebastien Fontaine, Bank of Canada
Anh Le, Kenan-Flagler Business School, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

Discussant: Greg Duffee, Johns Hopkins University

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Staying at Zero with Affine Processes: An Application to Term Structure Modelling
Alain Monfort, Banque de France
Fulvio Pegoraro, Banque de France
Jean-Paul Renne, Banque de France
Guillaume Roussellet, Banque de France

Discussant: Marcel Priebsch, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

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Session 6: Financial Stability in Bond Markets

Reaching for Yield by Corporate Bond Mutual Funds
Jaewon Choi, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Matias Kronlund, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

Discussant: Francis Longstaff, University of California at Los Angeles

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Collateral, Central Bank Repos, and Systemic Arbitrage
Falko Fecht, Frankfurt School of Finance & Management
Kjell Nyborg, University of Zurich, Swiss Finance Institute, and CEPR
Jorg Rocholl, ESMT European School of Management and Technology Jiri Woschitz, University of Zurich

Discussant: Stefania D’Amico, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

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Program Committee:
Antonio Diez de los Rios, Bank of Canada
Jean-Sebastien Fontaine, Bank of Canada
Michael Bauer, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
Jens Christensen, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

Sponsors

  • Bank of Canada
  • Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco