We produce a wide range of publications that share the latest data, analysis, and insights from various teams at the SF Fed. Our publications help inform and strengthen public understanding of economic issues and its impact on people and communities.

Latest Beige Book

Summary of Commentary on Current Economic Conditions: Federal Reserve Bank of SF

Economic Research Publications

FRBSF Economic Letter >

Economic analysis for general audiences

  • Monetary Policy and Financial Conditions

    Financial conditions indexes summarize a broad range of financial indicators with the goal of measuring how financial markets affect economic activity. Evidence from event studies with high-frequency data supports the view that monetary policy is a key driver of financial conditions. The effects are evident, not only around monetary policy announcements but also, indirectly, around macroeconomic data releases. The impact of inflation surprises on financial conditions has strengthened over the past year, likely due to the perceived implications for the future course of monetary policy.

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FedViews >

Analysis of current economic developments and the outlook

  • FedViews: March 7, 2024

    Brigitte Roth Tran, senior economist at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, stated her views on the current economy and the outlook as of March 7, 2024.

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Working Papers >

The latest in economic research

  • The Natural Rate of Interest in the Euro Area: Evidence from Inflation-Indexed Bonds

    The so-called equilibrium or natural rate of interest, widely known as r*t, is a key variable used to judge the stance of monetary policy. We offer a novel euro-area estimate based on a dynamic term structure model estimated directly on the prices of bonds with cash flows indexed to the euro-area harmonized index of consumer prices with adjustments for bond-specific risk and real term premia. Despite a recent increase, our estimate indicates that the natural rate in the euro area has fallen about 2 percentage points on net since 2002 and remains negative at the end of our sample. We also devise a related measure of the stance of monetary policy, which suggests that monetary policy in the euro area was not accommodative at the height of the COVID-19 pandemic.

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Community Development Publications

Community Development Innovation Review >

The Community Development Innovation Review focuses on bridging the gap between theory and practice, from as many viewpoints as possible. The goal of this journal is to promote cross-sector dialogue around a range of emerging issues and related investments that advance economic resilience and mobility for low- and moderate-income communities.

  • Fintech, Racial Equity, and an Inclusive Financial System

    Fintech, Racial Equity, and an Inclusive Financial System

    This issue of the Community Development Innovation Review examines the promise and pitfalls of financial technology, or fintech, for fostering racial equity and greater financial inclusion. Edited in partnership with the SF Fed’s Fintech team and Aspen Institute’s Financial Security Program, this issue brings together a broad set of voices from people working in various roles—including in technology, community development, economic inclusion, regulation, and investment—to contextualize gaps in the financial system and consider ways to address them.

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Community Development Research Briefs >

Research Briefs feature data and commentary on community development trends and issues.

Community Development Working Papers >

Working papers provide in-depth analysis of emerging community development issues from practitioners and scholars.

  • Housing Market Interventions and Residential Mobility in the San Francisco Bay Area

    Housing Market Interventions and Residential Mobility in the San Francisco Bay Area

    Limited evaluation research exists on which housing solutions are most effective in stabilizing communities so that those who wish to stay are able to do so in the midst of an influx of newcomers. This study seeks to fill this gap by assessing patterns of individual and household mobility related to specific housing interventions in the nine-county San Francisco Bay Area. Specifically, this study examines impacts of market-rate and subsidized development, and tenant protections, including rent stabilization and just cause for evictions protections.

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    View all Community Development Working Papers

Banking Publications

First Glance 12L >

These quarterly reports highlight key indicators of 12th District banking conditions.

Supervision in Brief >

This publication offers observations by the Head of Supervision of Financial Institution Supervision and Credit (FISC) on current banking and regulatory issues facing 12th District institutions.

Archived Publications

Asia Focus (Banking) >

Banks at a Glance >

District Circular Letters >

Fintech Edge >

Real Estate Lending Monitor >