Floating Population: Migration With(Out) Family and the Spatial Distribution of Economic Activity


Clement Imbert

Marlon Seror

Yanos Zylberberg

Download PDF
(5 MB)

2023-26 | August 1, 2023

This paper argues that migrants’ decision to bring their dependent family members shapes their consumption behavior, their choice of destination, and their sensitivity to migration barriers. We document that in China: (i) rural migrants disproportionately move to expensive cities; (ii) in these cities they live without their family and in poorer housing conditions; and (iii) they remit more, especially when living without their family. We then develop a quantitative general equilibrium spatial model in which migrant households choose whether, how (with or without their family), and where to migrate. We estimate the model using plausibly exogenous variation in wages, housing prices, and exposure to family migration costs. We use the model to estimate migration costs and relate them to migration policy. We find that hukou policies protect workers in large, expensive, and high income cities at the expense of rural households, who use remittances to overcome some of these costs.

Article Citation

Imbert, Clement, Joan Monras, Marlon Seror, and Yanos Zylberberg. 2023. “Floating Population: Migration With(Out) Family and the Spatial Distribution of Economic Activity,” Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Working Paper 2023-26. Available at https://doi.org/10.24148/wp2023-26

About the Author
Abstract image representing a seat vacancy.
Joan Monras is a research advisor in the Economic Research Department of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. Learn more about Joan Monras