Authors

Daniel Huber

Eric Offner

Marlene Renkel

Ole Wilms

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2024-36 | December 5, 2024

Revised March 12, 2026

We build a novel dataset of timestamped corporate decarbonization commitments—green pledges—for U.S. public firms by classifying news articles with large language models and human validation. Firms announcing green pledges tend to be larger and browner than other firms, both within and across industries. Green pledges significantly raise stock prices, consistent with a reduction in the carbon premium, and predict sizable declines in future carbon emissions and emission intensities. These effects tend to be strongest for firms in brown industries. Green pledges thus appear credible, convey relevant new information to investors, and provide meaningful financial incentives to decarbonize.

Suggested citation:

Bauer, Michael, Daniel Huber, Eric Offner, and Ole Wilms. 2026. “Corporate Green Pledges.” Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Working Paper 2024-36. https://doi.org/10.24148/wp2024-36

About the Authors
Michael Bauer is a senior research advisor and Director of the Center for Monetary Research in the Economic Research Department of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco and research fellow at CEPR. Learn more about Michael Bauer

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