Capital-Labor Substitution and Equilibrium Indeterminacy

Authors

Jang-Ting Guo

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2008-06 | June 1, 2009

Empirical evidence indicates that the elasticity of capital-labor substitution for the aggregate U.S. economy is below unity. In contrast, the existing indeterminacy literature has mostly restricted attention to a Cobb-Douglas production function which imposes a substitution elasticity exactly equal to unity. This paper examines the quantitative relationship between capital-labor substitution and the conditions needed for equilibrium indeterminacy (and belief-driven fluctuations) in a one-sector growth model. With variable capital utilization, the substitution elasticity has little quantitative impact on the minimum degree of increasing returns needed for indeterminacy. However, when capital utilization is constant, a below-unity substitution elasticity sharply raises the minimum degree of increasing returns. In this version of the model, lower substitution elasticities impose a higher adjustment cost on labor hours that cannot be mitigated by shifts in the capital utilization rate. Overall, our results show that empirically-plausible departures from the Cobb-Douglas specification can make indeterminacy more difficult to achieve.

Article Citation

Guo, Jang-Ting, and Kevin J. Lansing. 2008. “Capital-Labor Substitution and Equilibrium Indeterminacy,” Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Working Paper 2008-06. Available at https://doi.org/10.24148/wp2008-06

About the Author
Kevin Lansing
Kevin Lansing is a senior research advisor in the Economic Research Department of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. Learn more about Kevin Lansing