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of San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank
of San Francisco

Business Cycles

A business cycle is the change in overall economic activity of a nation from a period of growth or expansion to a period of contraction or recession.

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Series: Working Papers
Evaluating Macroeconomic Outcomes Under Asymmetries: Expectations Matter

Brent Bundick, Isabel Cairo, Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau

Series: Working Papers
Information Acquisition and the Finance-Uncertainty Trap

Ding Dong, Allen Hu, Zhaorui Li, Zheng Liu

Series: Economic Letter
Assessing the Recent Rise in Unemployment

Greeshma Avaradi, Marianna Kudlyak, Brandon Miskanic, David Wiczer

Series: Economic Letter
The Ups and Downs of Household Income

Deepika Baskar Prabhakar, Robert Valletta

Insights: SF Fed Blog
Economic Letter Video: Productivity During and Since the Pandemic

John G. Fernald, Huiyu Li, Brigid Meisenbacher, Aren S. Yalcin

Series: Economic Letter
Job Vacancies and Firms’ Labor Market Perceptions

Marianna Kudlyak, Brandon Miskanic

Series: Economic Letter
How Aware Is the Public of Labor Market Conditions?

Marianna Kudlyak, Brandon Miskanic

Series: Working Papers
Macroeconomic Expectations and Cognitive Noise

Yeji Sung

Series: Economic Letter
Are Markups Driving the Ups and Downs of Inflation?

Sylvain Leduc, Huiyu Li, Zheng Liu

Series: Working Papers
How Cyclical Is the User Cost of Labor?

Marianna Kudlyak