Friday, November 18, 2016
Center for Pacific Basin Studies
Janet L. Yellen Conference Center, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
San Francisco, CA
Welcoming Remarks
    John C. Williams, President and Chief Executive Officer, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
    
Session 1: Global Imbalances and Currency Wars at the ZLB
    
    Ricardo J. Caballero, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
    Emmanuel Farhi, Harvard University
    Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, University of California, Berkeley
    Discussants:
    Charles Engel, University of Wisconsin‑Madison
    Arvind Krishnamurthy, Stanford Graduate School of Business
    Download paper (Gourinchas) (pdf, 2 mb)
    Download slides (Gourinchas) (pdf, 2 mb)
    Download discussion slides (Engel) (pdf, 63 kb)
    Download discussion slides (Krishnamurthy) (pptx, 286 kb)
    
Session 2: Push Factors and Capital Flows to Emerging Markets: Why Knowing Your Lender Matters More Than Fundamentals
    Eugenio Cerutti, International Monetary Fund
    Stijn Claessens, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
    Damien Puy, International Monetary Fund
    Discussants:
    Friederike Niepmann, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
    Francis Warnock, University of Virginia Darden School of Business
    
    Download paper (Claessens) (pdf, 1 mb)
    Download slides (Claessens) (pptx, 5 mb)
    Download discussion slides (Niepmann) (pdf, 510 kb)
    Download discussion slides (Warnock) (pdf, 699 kb)
    
Session 3: Unemployment, Sovereign Debt, and Fiscal Policy in a Currency Union
    Javier Bianchi, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis 
    Pablo Ottonello, Columbia University
    Ignacio Presno, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
    Sylvain Leduc, Bank of Canada
    Vivian Yue, Emory University | Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
    
    Download paper (Presno) (pdf, 433 kb)
    Download slides (Presno) (pdf, 616 kb)
    Download discussion slides (Leduc) (pptx, 4 mb)
    Download discussion slides (Yue) (pdf, 818 kb)
    
Session 4: The Great Wall of Debt: Real Estate, Corruption, and Chinese Local Government Credit Spreads
    Andrew Ang, Columbia University
    Jennie Bai, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
    Hao Zhou, PBC School of Finance, Tsinghua University
    Discussants:
    Joshua Aizenman, University of Southern California | NBER
    Jasper Hoek, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
    
    Download paper (Bai) (pdf, 467 kb)
    Download discussion slides (Hoek) (pptx, 131 kb)
    Download discussion slides (Aizenman) (pdf, 599 kb)
    
Session 5: What We Learn from China’s Rising Shadow Banking: Exploring the Nexus of Monetary Tightening and Banks’ Role in Entrusted Lending
    Kaiji Chen, Emory University 
    Jue Ren, Emory University
    Tao Zha, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta | Emory University
    Discussants:
    Dean Corbae, University of Wisconsin‑Madison
    Kinda Hachem, University of Chicago Booth School of Business
    Download paper (Zha) (pdf, 542 kb)
    Download slides (Zha) (pdf, 278 kb)
    Download discussion slides (Corbae) (pdf, 216 kb)
    Download discussion slides (Hachem) (pdf, 460 kb)
    
Keynote Address: Governor Jerome Powell, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Download slides (Powell) (pdf, 936 kb)
Scheduled session speakers in bold.