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Technology & Growth Center | Research

The Center hosts an open-access repository of Federal Reserve research on emerging technologies and the economy. Selected research authored or co-authored by Federal Reserve economists can be found on this page.

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Federal Reserve Research: Dallas
Will AI Replace Your Job? Perhaps Not in the Next Decade

Mark A. Wynne, Lillian Derr

Federal Reserve Research: St. Louis
GenAI / Adoption Tracker

Alex Bick, Adam Blandin, David Deming, Kerry McKittrick

Federal Reserve Research: St. Louis
New Survey Findings on AI Adoption and Its Effects on Employment and Productivity

Violeta Gutkowski, Charles S. Gascon, Rehann Silvanus

Federal Reserve Research: San Francisco
Will AI Intensify or Weaken Market Competition?

Hamid Firooz, Sylvain Leduc, Zheng Liu

Federal Reserve Research: St. Louis
Industry-Level Growth, AI Use and the U.S. Postpandemic Recovery

Oksana Leukhina, Mickenzie Bass

Federal Reserve Research: Board of Governors
The Potential for Sustained Productivity Impetus from GenAI

Martin Neil Baily, David M. Byrne, Aidan T. Kane, Paul E. Soto

Federal Reserve Research: Dallas
Data Center Boom Expected to Raise Electricity Component of PCE Inflation

Owen Kay, Lutz Kilian, Reid Taylor

Federal Reserve Research: St. Louis
Can AI Optimism Raise Inflation? What a Standard Macro Model Says

Miguel Faria-e-Castro, Serdar Ozkan

Federal Reserve Research: San Francisco
AI Adoption Among Small Businesses: Qualitative Insights from the Small Business Credit Survey

Rocio Sanchez-Moyano, Natalie Holmes, Sarah Simms

Federal Reserve Research: St. Louis
Measuring AI Adoption among Firms: How You Ask Matters

Alexander Bick, Adam Blandin, David Deming, Nicola Fuchs-Schündeln, Jonas Jessen

Federal Reserve Research: Atlanta
AI, Productivity, and Work: Evidence from US Firms

Salomé Baslandze, Zachary Edwards, John Graham, Ty McClure, Michael Sparks, Brent Meyer, Sonya Ravindranath Waddell, Daniel Weitz

Federal Reserve Research: Board of Governors
The Potential for Sustained Productivity Impetus from GenAI

Martin Neil Baily, David M. Byrne, Aidan T. Kane, Paul E. Soto

Federal Reserve Research: Board of Governors
Monitoring AI Adoption in the US Economy

Jeffrey S. Allen

Federal Reserve Research: St. Louis
Mind the Gap: AI Adoption in Europe and the U.S.

Alexander Bick, Adam Blandin, David Deming, Nicola Fuchs-Schündeln, Jonas Jessen

Federal Reserve Research: Board of Governors
AI Adoption and Firms’ Job-Posting Behavior

Jessica Liu, Douglas Webber

Federal Reserve Research: New York
Use of Gen AI in the Workplace and the Value of Access to Training

Ali Hashim, Gizem Kosar, Wilbert van der Klaauw

Federal Reserve Research: Atlanta
How Much Are Firms Spending on AI (and What Will Happen to Headcounts)?

José María Barrero, Nicholas Bloom, Steven J. Davis, Kevin Foster, Brent Meyer, Emil Mihaylov, Michael Navarrete

Federal Reserve Research: New York
Artificial Intelligence and Monetary Policy: A Framework and Perspective on Cyclical Transmission, Structural Transition, and Financial Stability

Simone Lenzu

Federal Reserve Research: Atlanta
Firm Data on AI

Ivan Yotzov, Jose Maria Barrero, Nicholas Bloom, Philip Bunn, Steven J. Davis, Kevin M. Foster, Aaron Jalca, Brent H. Meyer, Paul Mizen, Michael A. Navarrete, Pawel Smietanka, Gregory Thwaites, Ben Zhe Wang

Federal Reserve Research: Board of Governors
Validating Large Language Model Annotations

Anne Lundgaard Hansen