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  • Rebuild to Fail or Rebuild to Adapt: How CRA Lending Can Guide Climate Change Disaster Response

    Wildfire risk mitigation plans can be a model for promoting adaptive reconstruction after climate change-related natural disasters. This approach represents a middle ground between disaster recovery and long-term risk associated with climate change

  • Housing Stability and Family Health: Five Things to Know

    A robust and growing body of literature points to the importance of pregnancy and early childhood as time periods that influence health, development, and long-term life chances. Less attention, however, has been paid to how housing instability during pregnancy and early childhood affects a person’s health over the long-term.

  • On the Job with the SF Fed’s Explosives-Detection Dogs

    Get to know Maui, Echo, Cash, and their handlers, the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco’s newly commissioned K9 unit.

  • Asia’s Latest Trade War: Japan vs. South Korea

    In this episode of Rethinking Asia, we spoke with Chad Bown, Senior Fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics. Chad is an expert on trade, having worked on the issue at the World Bank, the White House Council of Economic Advisors, and the World Trade Organization. We discussed the recent trade disagreement between South Korea and Japan. While, rooted in the countries’ deep historical, political, and social tensions dating back to the early 20th century, the attitudes and tactics adopted in the dispute reflect broader global tensions surrounding trade.

  • Business opportunities and challenges

    Panelists discuss business perspectives of the sustainability and trade-offs of a hot economy, moderated by San Francisco First Vice President Mark Gould, at Fed Listens San Francisco on September 26, 2019. Participants include: David White, National Executive Director, SAG-AFTRA; Rosemary Turner, president (retired) of UPS Northern California and Deputy Chair; Chip Childs, President and CEO, […]

  • Welcoming remarks and policy trade-offs of running a hot economy

    San Francisco Fed President Mary C. Daly and Federal Reserve Vice Chair Richard Clarida welcome guests to Fed Listens San Francisco on September 26, 2019, followed by a presentation by Doug Elmendorf of the Harvard Kennedy School titled, “Policy Trade-Offs of Running a Hot Economy” (video, 1:17:39). Transcript President Mary C. Daly: I’m Mary Daly. […]

  • Japan’s Complicated Role as a Global Safe Haven

    Today we launch a new series, Rethinking Asia, as we consider noteworthy and unusual trends in Asian finance and economics. In our first episode, we sat down with Jesper Koll, head of Japan at WisdomTree, a global asset manager. In our conversation, Jesper discusses in depth the history and forces behind Japan’s distinction as a safe haven for global investors. He explains why assets like the yen and Japanese government bonds rally during periods of regional or global turmoil.

  • How Increasingly Digital Life can Boost Small Business Access to Finance in Asia

    In this episode, we interviewed our colleague Sean Creehan, a senior analyst in the Country Analysis Unit. We asked him about a recent paper he wrote on the role of small businesses in Asia. We covered why SMEs receive a disproportionately small share of credit from the financial system, and how fintech and new innovations can boost SME financial access and overall economic growth.

  • China’s Rising Consumer Class

    In our third episode of our series Rethinking Asia, we spoke with Andy Rothman, an investment strategist for Matthews Asia. Prior to joining Matthews Asia, he worked for 20 years in China, and now uses that experience to shape the firm’s thoughts on China from an investment perspective. Andy helped us understand the future of Chinese growth, its current state of domestic consumption and China’s efforts to rebalance away from investment and exports towards consumption.

  • The Natural Rate of Unemployment over the Past 100 Years

    The natural rate of unemployment, or u-star, is used by economists and policymakers to help assess the overall state of the labor market. However, the natural rate is not directly observable and must be estimated. A new statistical approach estimates the natural rate over the past 100 years. Results suggest the natural rate has been remarkably stable over history, hovering between 4.5 and 5.5% for long periods, even during the Great Depression. Recent readings on the unemployment rate have been running slightly below the natural rate estimate.